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Sample

US and Iran announce a nuclear deal by 31 December

You 62% · Market 58% · 4 pts above the market

NowMarket 58%You 62%

With Pro: your Polymarket positions, matched to our stories (sample)

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
Yes2,400 shares · entry 48¢ → now 63¢up 10 points over 7dEnds in 33 days
Value $1,512+$360 (+31%)
Your forecast gives Yes 70%, 7 pts above its 63¢ price.
- Cites this marketNew9 NovMarkets price a December cut as inflation cools faster than the Fed expectedA December cut is now the base case
US-Iran nuclear deal by December 31?
No1,800 shares · entry 61¢ → now 42¢down 6 points over 7dEnds in 47 days
Value $756-$342 (-31%)
Your forecast gives No 38%, 4 pts below its 42¢ price.
- Same event7 NovOil slides on hopes of an Iran deal. Tehran wants a US climbdown first.A deal is closer than it looks