Geopolitics & Conflict
Geopolitics
Taiwan's Opposition Went to Beijing. The PLA Didn't Stand Down.
Xi Jinping's handshake with Taiwan's opposition leader is a peace signal aimed at Washington, not Taipei.
3% invasion by June 30Future Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Geopolitics
Russia and Ukraine Agree an Easter Truce. The Money Says It Won't Last.
Moscow and Kyiv have agreed to stop shooting for 32 hours. Prediction markets are betting they start again.
5% ceasefire by April 30Future Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Geopolitics
Trump's Hormuz Ultimatum Puts the Iran Ceasefire on a Days-Long Clock
The US president demands the Strait of Hormuz reopen within days, but markets and allies see a longer, messier timeline.
42% end of operations by April 30Future Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
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