Fed rate cut by June 202662%+0%
Trump tariffs extended 202671%+0%
Ukraine ceasefire 202634%+0%
OpenAI valuation above $300B58%+0%
Major US company bankruptcy 202629%+0%
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Friday, 10 April 2026

Taiwan's Opposition Went to Beijing. The PLA Didn't Stand Down.
Geopolitics

Taiwan's Opposition Went to Beijing. The PLA Didn't Stand Down.

Xi Jinping's handshake with Taiwan's opposition leader is a peace signal aimed at Washington, not Taipei.

3% invasion by June 30Future Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Russia and Ukraine Agree an Easter Truce. The Money Says It Won't Last.
Geopolitics

Russia and Ukraine Agree an Easter Truce. The Money Says It Won't Last.

Moscow and Kyiv have agreed to stop shooting for 32 hours. Prediction markets are betting they start again.

5% ceasefire by April 30Future Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Oil Traders Are Fading the War Premium
Markets

Oil Traders Are Fading the War Premium

The ceasefire may be fragile, but crude markets are already pricing life after the Iran conflict.

26% WTI hits $120 in AprilFuture Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Deep DivesPro

AI & the Future of Work

AI is disrupting white-collar cognitive work before blue-collar trades, inverting the pattern of every prior automation wave. A three-layer framework explains why economists disagree and who faces displacement first.

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Future of Prediction Markets

Prediction markets now process more weekly volume than most commodity exchanges. The question is whether Congress or the Supreme Court decides what they actually are.

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Trump's Hormuz Ultimatum Puts the Iran Ceasefire on a Days-Long Clock
Geopolitics

Trump's Hormuz Ultimatum Puts the Iran Ceasefire on a Days-Long Clock

The US president demands the Strait of Hormuz reopen within days, but markets and allies see a longer, messier timeline.

42% end of operations by April 30Future Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Tech

Twelve Tech Rivals Unite Behind an AI Too Dangerous to Release

Anthropic's withheld frontier model has found thousands of zero-day flaws across critical software, prompting an unprecedented industry coalition to deploy it under restricted access.

Future Times · 7 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Markets

Trump's Tariff Escalation Meets Silent Markets

US supply chains buckle under 50% metal tariffs while prediction markets show no sign of alarm.

Future Times · 7 Apr 2026 · 2 min read
Vance Flies to Budapest. The Market Shrugs.
Policy

Vance Flies to Budapest. The Market Shrugs.

The US Vice President campaigned for Viktor Orbán five days before Hungary's election, in a move without modern precedent that prediction markets dismissed.

65% Magyar wins PMFuture Times · 7 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Deep Dives

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AI & the Future of Work
Analysis

AI & the Future of Work

AI is disrupting white-collar cognitive work before blue-collar trades, inverting the pattern of every prior automation wave. A three-layer framework explains why economists disagree and who faces displacement first.

37% JD Vance wins 2028 Republican nomination (proxy: pro-AI deployment policy)Future Times · 3 Apr 2026 · 7 min readPro
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Future of Prediction Markets
Analysis

Future of Prediction Markets

Prediction markets now process more weekly volume than most commodity exchanges. The question is whether Congress or the Supreme Court decides what they actually are.

54% Clarity Act signed into law in 2026Future Times · 30 Mar 2026 · 8 min readPro
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