Policy & Power

Policy

Streeting Launches Formal Challenge to Starmer

Labour's leadership crisis has a named challenger, a resignation letter, and a bond market flashback.

34% Starmer out by May 31Future Times · 17 May 2026 · 3 min read

Policy

Labour's Losses Leave Starmer Fighting for Survival

At least one ex-minister threatens a challenge as prediction markets price Starmer's exit probability at 57% by month's end.

57% Starmer out by May 31Future Times · 12 May 2026 · 4 min read

Policy

Trump's Beijing Window Closes in Five Days

The first US presidential visit to China in years lands this week, with three major think tanks arguing Xi holds the upper hand.

87.5% Trump visits China by May 15Future Times · 10 May 2026 · 3 min read

Markets Already Price Starmer's Slow-Motion Collapse

24% likelyFuture Times · 8 May 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

Millions Vote as Starmer Faces His Worst Night Yet

12% likelyFuture Times · 7 May 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

Britain Pays for a War It Never Chose

30% likelyFuture Times · 5 May 2026 · 3 min read

Policy

Trump Is Going to Beijing. A Deal Is Not.

92% likelyFuture Times · 4 May 2026 · 3 min read

Policy

Trump's China Trip Is 2028 Primary Infrastructure

39% likelyFuture Times · 1 May 2026 · 4 min read

Policy

Mamata's Bengal Win Exposes the Limits of Modi's Centralisation

59% likelyFuture Times · 29 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

The GOP's 2028 Race Has a Front-Runner Problem

49% likelyFuture Times · 29 Apr 2026 · 4 min read

Policy

Europe Lost Its Trump Whisperer at the Worst Time

72% likelyFuture Times · 28 Apr 2026 · 3 min read

Policy

West Bengal’s Final Phase Arrives. The Money Already Moved.

59% likelyFuture Times · 27 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

Two G7 Central Banks Named the Iran War Today. Both Held.

95% likelyFuture Times · 27 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

Peru's Runoff Is a Dead Heat. Markets Disagree.

66% likelyFuture Times · 26 Apr 2026 · 3 min read

Policy

Gunman Opens Fire at White House Correspondents' Dinner

0% likelyFuture Times · 26 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

West Bengal's 92% Turnout Is Mamata's Strongest Signal

56% likelyFuture Times · 24 Apr 2026 · 3 min read

Policy

Peru's Left Won the Most Bets. Fujimori Won the Election.

66% likelyFuture Times · 23 Apr 2026 · 4 min read

Policy

Britain's Consumer Confidence Just Hit a 48-Year Low

3% likelyFuture Times · 22 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

Starmer Fires Official Over Mandelson Vetting Override

34% likelyFuture Times · 17 Apr 2026 · 2 min read

Policy

Iran Standoff Puts US-UK Trade Deal at Risk

Future Times · 15 Apr 2026 · 2 min read