Markets & Macro
Markets
Oil Traders Are Fading the War Premium
The ceasefire may be fragile, but crude markets are already pricing life after the Iran conflict.
26% WTI hits $120 in AprilFuture Times · 10 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Markets
Trump's Tariff Escalation Meets Silent Markets
US supply chains buckle under 50% metal tariffs while prediction markets show no sign of alarm.
Future Times · 7 Apr 2026 · 2 min read
Markets
The Market Has Already Chosen the Next Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh's confirmation is priced at 96%, and the rate outlook under his leadership points to a structurally hawkish Fed.
96% Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed ChairFuture Times · 5 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
More from Markets & Macro
Markets
Warsh Gets the Fed. Markets Haven’t Priced What Comes Next.
96% likelyFuture Times · 4 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
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Oil at $120 Leaves the Fed With No Good Options
72% likelyFuture Times · 3 Apr 2026 · 3 min read
Markets
Stocks Rally on Iran Peace Talk. The Ceasefire Market Is Unconvinced.
38% likelyFuture Times · 1 Apr 2026 · 4 min read
Markets
The Fed Meets on Wednesday. The Real Test Is Thursday.
67% likelyFuture Times · 1 Apr 2026 · 4 min read
Markets
Oil Markets Rallied on Peace Talk Noise. The War Market Didn't Flinch.
60% likelyFuture Times · 31 Mar 2026 · 4 min read
Markets
Oil Fell 11%. The Ceasefire Market Didn't Move. One of Them Is Wrong.
32% likelyFuture Times · 25 Mar 2026 · 3 min readPro
Markets
The Fed Held Rates. The Next Move May Not Be a Cut.
4% likelyFuture Times · 22 Mar 2026 · 4 min readPro
Markets
The Fed Is Paralysed — And the Oil Market Might Force Its Hand
27% likelyFuture Times · 19 Mar 2026 · 4 min read