Fed rate cut by June 202662%+0%
Trump tariffs extended 202671%+0%
Ukraine ceasefire 202634%+0%
OpenAI valuation above $300B58%+0%
Major US company bankruptcy 202629%+0%
All Market Signals →

Markets & Macro

Warsh Inherits a Fed That Won't Follow Him
Markets

Warsh Inherits a Fed That Won't Follow Him

The new Federal Reserve chair faces the most divided Board in three decades, and prediction markets have priced the result: total paralysis.

1% Fed cuts at June FOMCFuture Times · 17 May 2026 · 3 min read
Markets

Strategy's Bitcoin Promise Faces a Cash-Flow Deadline

Strategy bought its smallest Bitcoin tranche of 2026 days after its founder floated the possibility of selling. The market noticed.

67% Strategy sells Bitcoin by June 30Future Times · 12 May 2026 · 4 min read
Markets

Bitcoin Rallied 19%. The Money Says It Doesn't Matter.

Prediction markets reject the decoupling thesis as the Fed signals tighter policy and MicroStrategy's resolve cracks.

1.4% Bitcoin 50k by June 30Future Times · 10 May 2026 · 3 min read

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The Fed Cannot Cut. The Bank of England Can. That Gap Is the Story.

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Bitcoin's $80,000 Problem Is Not a Breakout

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Oil's $120 Ceiling Is a Ceasefire Bet in Disguise

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Warsh's Fed Means the End of Forward Guidance

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China's GDP Beat Masks a Commodity-Bearish Shift

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