Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market platform. Thousands of traders stake real money on the outcomes of world events — elections, conflicts, economic data, central bank decisions. The resulting prices are some of the most reliable real-time probability estimates available anywhere.
Get started
Create your account via our link to trade on the same markets that power every Future Times story.
Sign up to Polymarket →Future Times earns a referral fee if you sign up via this link.
Polymarket works like a stock market for real-world outcomes. Each market poses a question — "Will the Fed cut rates in June?" — and traders buy shares representing Yes or No. The price of a Yes share reflects the crowd's probability estimate. If Yes trades at 72¢, the market says there's a 72% chance the Fed cuts.
Because traders have skin in the game, the markets tend to be more accurate than polls or pundit predictions. That's why Future Times uses Polymarket probabilities as a primary source — and why embedding that context in your own decision-making is valuable.
Step 01
Sign up via our referral link. It takes two minutes — email or Google.
Step 02
Polymarket uses USDC (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Deposit from a card or crypto wallet.
Step 03
Browse by category — Politics, Economics, Finance, Tech. Or follow a Future Times article directly to its market.
Open an account via our link and follow the markets behind every Future Times story.
Sign up to Polymarket →Affiliate disclosure: Future Times earns a referral fee when you sign up via our link. This does not affect our editorial coverage. Prediction market trading involves financial risk.